It has been a crazy start to the season in terms of goals with records breaking all over the place, following on from the trend set by the group phase of the World Cup. This may be because of teams playing more attacking football on the whole, but also in part to do with progressively decreasing quality in defending. Whatever the explanation, this is a worthy reason to try out accumulators based on which teams will score lots more this weekend.
LIKELY BETS
Arsenal vs Tottenham: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @ 1.69
Predicting goals in the north London derby - especially at the Emirates - is not a new trend considering that 22 goals have been scored in the last 5 encounters at the Gunners' home. Arsenal have also seen both teams scoring in 4 of their 5 Premier League games thus far this season.
The WhoScored data suggests that when it comes to 'Stopping opponents from creating chances' Arsenal is considered 'Weak', while Tottenham are 'Very Weak'. Both should play a 4-2-3-1, and the space in between the lines could be the key: Cazorla could exploit gaps opened up by Welbeck's movement, while Lamela improved form could trouble Gibbs, especially he can isolate the full-back.
Atalanta vs Juventus: AWAY WIN @ 1.55
Juventus are such a intimidating opponent that so far this season, only Milan have truly tried to attack them. Atalanta's is a stadium at which the bianconeri usually have some joy, including 2 Scudetti victories there. What is more, the WhoScored Match Forecast is a long list of situations all denoting ways in which Juve will dominate the game.
Sunderland vs Swansea: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @ 1.82
Both teams have scored in each of Sunderland's home league games this season and Swansea's away games, while this clash last season ended 3-1 to the visitors. The WhoScored Match Forecast predicts that Swansea are 'likely' to 'score a long shot', while also highlighting that Monk's side is 'Very Weak' when it comes to 'Avoiding fouling in dangerous areas'.
TEMPTING BETS
Atlético Madrid vs Sevilla: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.03
Conceding goals was a rare occurrence at the Vicente Calderón last season, but at present, Los Colchoneros are struggling in front of their own fans and the welcome of an undefeated Sevilla side is definitely not ideal in their minor crisis.
Cesena vs Milan: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @ 1.98
Filippo Inzaghi's management approach has already helped Milan’s strength in character - the WhoScored Match Forecast suggests it is 'Likely' they 'will make a comeback if they go behind'. However, it's too early to expect him to have corrected Milan’s defensive frailties, which have been exposed already this season. Cesena rely on their fans to create a cauldron of fire for away teams and they will call on the supporters to do similar here.
Metz vs Stade Reims: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @ 2.00
It's always fun when 18th placed Reims are in action. Jean-Luc Vasseur’s side have the 6th best attack and the worst defence in Ligue 1, while both teams have scored in each of Metz’s 3 home league games this season. The WhoScored match forecast suggests it is ‘Very Likely’ that Metz ‘will make a comeback if they go behind’.
LONG SHOT BETS
Cologne vs Bayern Munich: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.11
This may seem an unusual prediction for a Bayern game - and in general for the generally high-scoring Bundesliga - but, in fact, only 2 goals have been scored in the 4 games Cologne have played at home and Bayern have played away. Better still, not a single one has been scored at the RheinEnergieStadion.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid: OVER 3.5 GOALS @ 2.36
There is a pretty different scenario at El Madrigal, where 5 of the last 6 competitive games have seen at least 4 goals scored. Madrid are the visitors this week, having seen an average of 8 goals per away game so far this season.
Augsburg vs Hertha Berlin: OVER 4.5 GOALS @ 5.81
The stats hint at a high-scoring game here: Augsburg's 2 home games have seen 11 goals scored, while Hertha's 2 away games have seen 10 netted. The odds are very high, but considering both attacks and defences, the risk is definitely justified.
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